End_of_SaaS

The end of SaaS as we know it?

In a recent interview Satya Nadella from Microsoft suggested that SaaS (Software as a Service) applications are likely to be replaced by AI agents. This has been a constant pattern for some time now. At Microsoft’s Ignite 2024 conference, Nadella introduced a suite of AI-driven “autonomous agents” designed to perform tasks on behalf of users, signaling a shift towards more intelligent and proactive digital assistants.

These AI agents are envisioned to operate autonomously, handling complex tasks such as processing customer returns, managing shipping invoices, and optimizing supply chain operations. This evolution aims to enhance efficiency and productivity by allowing AI to execute and orchestrate business processes with minimal human intervention.

Nadella’s vision positions AI agents as integral components of the workplace, functioning as personal assistants and team collaborators. This approach reflects a broader industry trend towards “Agentic AI,” where AI systems are endowed with the capability to act independently, making decisions and performing actions without continuous human oversight.

The introduction of these AI agents represents a significant shift from traditional Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) models, which typically require user initiation and interaction. By contrast, AI agents can proactively manage tasks, anticipate needs, and streamline workflows, potentially reducing the reliance on conventional SaaS applications.

How will AI reshape the landscape of business applications?

Current business applications are essentially databases with business logic and some GUI on top of it used by people. This is very likely to be replaced by AI agents whicj  become the primary interface. These agents will not be restricted by the back-end of individual applications. Instead, they will access and update multiple databases, with the core logic being handled by the AI tier.

AI-Driven Logic: The business logic of SaaS applications will shift towards the AI layer. This means that the AI will handle the core functionality, making the specific application back-end less important or even obsolete.

Increased Intensity of Use: AI will make it easier for users to query and access data. Rather than individual users manually inputting data, AI agents can facilitate this process by collating information from different sources.

Monetisation Through Connectors: As AI agents interact with various platforms, there is likely to be a need for interfaces between agents and applications, possibly requiring licensing agreements. This means that to take action within a system, or extract data, there will need to be a licensed interface. This is reminiscent of how applications previously managed to do interrupts.

New AI-Native Apps: There is an increasing demand for AI-native business applications where the logic tier is managed by AI agents. This implies that SaaS providers will need to shift their approach to focus on AI-first functionality.

AI Agent Organising Layer: AI agents will act as a user interface for AI, and also serve as an organising layer. Users will interact with AI, which in turn will interact with various applications. This could mean that many users will not directly interact with their applications as often as before, but rather with the AI agent.

Reconceptualised Use of Existing Tools: AI will change how we think about existing software tools like Excel. For example, users can work directly in interfaces that are provides by AI agents. Tools like Excel then work in the background, invisible for users, often used a container for data and sharing with others.

Conclusion

In summary, all points to a future without SaaS as we know it today and with AI agents acting as a primary interface and process orchestrator. The focus will shift away from individual application silos toward a more integrated and AI-driven workflow, with the AI layer taking on a lot of the core functionality that was previously handled by the application.

Also while traditional tools like Word, Excel, and PowerPoint will still play a role, their prominence as productivity enablers may diminish as AI agents take over content creation, analysis, and presentation tasks. They’ll evolve into platforms for reviewing, editing, and sharing AI-driven outputs, with the potential to significantly reshape the modern workplace.

Photo by Miguel Á. Padriñán

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